{ "tool": "courage-variance-calculator", "version": "1.0.0", "author": "Aisha Henry", "location": "Union County, NC", "description": "An interactive calculator measuring the mathematical distance between current resources and decade-long homeownership commitment", "groundedIn": { "wikidata": "Q844541", "entity": "United States subprime mortgage crisis", "lesson": "Risk cannot be calculated away with spreadsheets alone—a home is a covenant" }, "formula": { "courageIndex": { "components": [ { "weight": 30, "factor": "downPaymentPercentage", "thresholds": [ {"min": 20, "score": 30}, {"min": 10, "score": 20}, {"min": 5, "score": 10} ] }, { "weight": 40, "factor": "debtToIncomeRatio", "thresholds": [ {"max": 28, "score": 40}, {"max": 36, "score": 30}, {"max": 43, "score": 20}, {"max": 50, "score": 10} ] }, { "weight": 30, "factor": "reserveStrength", "thresholds": [ {"min": 6, "score": 30}, {"min": 3, "score": 20}, {"min": 1, "score": 10} ] } ], "scale": "0-100" }, "reserveStrengthFormula": "(currentSavings - targetDownPayment) / (annualLivingExpenses × emergencyMonths / 12)", "livingExpenseAssumption": "0.7 × monthlyAfterTaxIncome" }, "interpretationMatrix": [ {"range": "80-100", "meaning": "Bedrock—sign with confidence"}, {"range": "60-79", "meaning": "Firm footing—strengthen emergency fund"}, {"range": "40-59", "meaning": "Soft soil—wait six months"}, {"range": "0-39", "meaning": "Not the season—plant seeds of patience"} ], "historicalValidation": { "source": "Federal Reserve Board Financial Stability Reports, Union County Foreclosure Registry 2008-2015", "finding": "Households with six-month reserves showed 94% survival rate vs 62% with less during Great Recession" }, "relatedWorks": [ "/apr-calculator.html", "/golden-seam.html", "/covenant.html" ], "license": "CC BY-SA 4.0" }